BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Central Arkansas
Class: 1B Class Rank: 43 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength = 131.29
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Away L 135.23 27 38 1A 101 ( 3- 9) Tulsa 3.95 -14.95
2 09/08/2018 Home W 135.47 26 13 1B 70 ( 5- 6) Murray St 4.18 8.82
3 09/15/2018 Away W * 135.80 33 25 1B 67 ( 4- 7) SE Louisiana 4.51 3.49
4 09/29/2018 Away L * 128.45 31 34 1B 50 ( 6- 5) Sam Houston St -2.84 -0.16
5 10/06/2018 Home W * 137.91 66 35 1B 108 ( 1- 10) Houston Baptist 6.63 24.37
6 10/13/2018 Away W * 130.35 27 17 1B 84 ( 2- 8) Stephen F. Austin -0.93 10.93
7 10/20/2018 Home W * 142.71 38 17 1B 65 ( 5- 6) Northwestern St 11.43 9.57
8 10/27/2018 Away L * 126.40 21 23 1B 60 ( 6- 5) McNeese St -4.89 2.89
9 11/03/2018 Home L * 112.13 24 38 1B 38 ( 7- 5) Lamar -19.15 5.15
10 11/10/2018 Home L * 116.95 27 40 1B 41 ( 6- 5) Incarnate Word -14.34 1.34
11 11/17/2018 Away W * 142.74 16 7 1B 42 ( 6- 5) Abilene Christian 11.45 -2.45
Averages 131.29 30.5 26.1
Best game: 142.74 = 9 point win over Abilene Christian
Worst game: 112.13 = 14 point loss to Lamar
Team stdev: 9.82